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AIC
UPDATE - May
2005 | Vol. 2 | Number 17
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An Alternative Platform
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Defining US-Iran Hostility |
 A Vision
for the Place of Iran in the New World
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AIC Update is an information resource for US-Iran
relations and the efforts of the American Iranian
Council to promote dialogue and understanding
between the United States and Iran.
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| A Vision for the Place of Iran in the New World |
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I am most unhappy to report that all is not well in
Iran and that the nation lacks a prestigious address
in the emerging global community. Iran has indeed
become a P.O. Box nation in the new world.
The country faces multiple complex and
challenging problems. Iran is psychologically
depressed, economically stagnant, technological
backward, politically undemocratic, socially ill and
divided, culturally confused, territorially imbalanced,
and internationally demonized. Iran today has no set
direction and its leadership is without vision for a
modern future. It is no wonder that the young
Iranians have trouble seeing a prosperous Iran on the
horizon.
I know these are disturbing statements, and I do not
wish for a second to impress upon you a pessimistic
view of the future. The fact is the Iranian nation
does not deserve the miserable condition in which it
lives today. Iran is a country rich in people, history,
culture, art, geography, and natural resources. As
the first empire builders, for centuries Iranians stood
for the historic East against the historic West and
have been a pivot of stability.
Today, a gap exists between Iran's resources and its
achievements. I dare to say that Iran is indeed one
of the lowest achievers in the world today relative to
its resources. Why so? It is certainly not because
the nation has not tried. It is now well over a
century that the Iranian people have been trying to
close the gap and advance. They have used reform
and revolution as well as tens of theories, strategies
and policies to achieve this. However, save for some
initial successes, they have been increasingly
disappointed.
Why so, let me ask again? As a nation, Iranians do
not agree on the cause or the causes of their
general undevelopment. Most Iranians blame foreign
powers; some condemn the ruling elite, and others
hold a combination of the two responsible. However,
to me it is all about the lack of vision and leadership...
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| Reader Response - To Vote? or Not To Vote? |
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The following comments were submitted in
response
to last week's "Reader Commentary" on the Iranian
election. In the spirit of dialogue, the Council feels
compelled to continue to print this feedback and also
to attempt to respond when necessary.
"I believe 50% voters turn out is a good percentage.
If you look at the recent US. presidential election the
percentage of eligible voter's turn out was
approximately the same despite the most heated
public outreach from both camps. The country was
and still is so divided that many even just voted for
the first time to support their candidate of choice,
but still the turn out was not much greater than
50%. In terms of diversity of ideologies and choices,
I believe Iranian populace has more choice than
Americans in this presidential election. Here, we only
had two choices and they both shared the same
principles and only disagreed on the means to reach
those principals. I think it is the same today in
Iranian presidential campaign. It is true that all
candidates share the same principals and divide on
the means to reach those principal, but at least the
choices are more diverse. Having said all these, we
can never compare Iran with the US. or European
countries, it is only fair to compare Iran with other
nations in the Middle-East. At least we have
elections in Iran, it might not be perfect but at least
we have what the US. is trying so hard to promote
at more basic levels in Iraq and Afghanistan."
- AIC Update Reader
"People must realize that by not voting they can
seriously impact their own destiny as well as that of
the Islamic system."
Iran's Interior Ministry Spokesman
Jahanbakhsh Khanjani
Most importantly, a 50% turnout is extremely low by
Iranian standards, and preliminary polling indicates
that this Presidential election will experience the
lowest voter turnout in the 25-year history of the
Islamic Republic. The average voter turnout in three
Assembly of Experts elections was 58.53%; the
average voter turnout in six Majlis elections was
60.60% and 63.79% in the past eight presidential
races. Moreover, this election would come on the
heels of a 50% turnout in the 2004 Parliamentary
election (with some areas experiencing a less than
25% turnout), significantly lower than the 67%
experienced in the 2000 Parliamentary elections.
Despite the fact that Supreme Leader Ayatollah
Seyyed Ali Khamenei has declared this year the year
of "Public Participation and National Solidarity," the
decline in voter turnout is both sharp and drastic,
and millions of eligible Iranians are not expected to
vote. Amidst the predictions that voter turnout will
be low is the notion that in the absence of moderate
and left-leaning voters, the Presidency will transfer
to Conservative control. Iran's Presidency has
repeatedly eluded hard line conservative control, but
only in an environment of high voter turnout and the
current poll numbers suggests otherwise.
Regardless, low voter turnout is being attributed to
widespread dissatisfaction with the current candidate
choices, lack of transparency in the Guardian
Council's decisions, and a declining confidence in the
principles of the Islamic Republic.
The Council urges such dialogue, so please direct
all
feedback and commentary to aic@american-
iranian.org or update@american-iranian.org.
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| Last chance to take 'SURVEY' |
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The survey 'Defining US-Iran Hostility' will only be on
the American
Iranian Council website for one more week. The
Council has received substantial feedback from this
survey and believes it has met its purpose in gauging
the most important issues related to US-Iran
relations.
Please look forward to additional surveys in the
future.
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| Nuclear Update: Confidence Beyond NPT |
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With an international conference on the Nuclear Non-
Proliferation Treaty underway, Iran's nuclear program
is an illustration of the progress and problems of
international non-proliferation. Legally, Iran
possesses the right to enrich uranium, but
realistically it is an endeavor that will escalate
international tensions and illuminate the weaknesses
of the NPT. The United States remains suspicious
that Iran is using its peaceful nuclear activities as
cover for developing nuclear weapons, a lesson
taught to us by North Korea.
Iran remains immovable on its decision to produce
nuclear fuel. However, Iran has made no decision
on whether it will restart its nuclear enrichment
program, an action that is believed to jeopardize the
success of European negotiations and escalate
tensions with the United States. The negotiations
have so far have failed in building confidence in the
international community. The impending failure of
the negotiations must be met with additional
measures, if Iran does not want to become further
isolated.
Two Initials Step for Gaining
International Confidence
1) Iran must open their nuclear facilities (and military
facilities - within reason) to nuclear inspections. The
signing of Additional NPT Protocols has set this
course, but Iranian officials appear hesitant about
intrusive inspections.
2) Iran must give additional international assurances
that it will not renege on the NPT at the eleventh
hour and decide to make nuclear weapons. Iran
needs to assure the world that it does not seek the
same path as North Korea.
Iran Says Nuclear Plans on Hold
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-
dyn/content/article/2005/05/04/AR2005050402254.ht
ml
Iran Vows to Continue Nuclear Efforts
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldla
test/story/0,1280,-4980105,00.html
Iran Ready to Continue Nuclear Talks with EU
http://www.forbes.com/home
/feeds/afx/2005/05/05/afx2004101.html
Officials Warn on Iran's Nuclear Plan
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/a376e
f10-bd02-11d9-b1e3-00000e2511c8.html
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| Support for US Ebbs Among Iranians? |
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Support for US Ebbs Among Iranians
by Mike Shuster
All Things Considered, May 3, 2005 ·
Messages from the United States are monitored
closely in Iran, where the attitude toward America is
at its chilliest in years. Recent talk about the
possibility of using military force to stop Iran's
nuclear program has hardened attitudes considerably.
Iran has long been an anomaly in the Middle East,
standing as one of the countries whose citizens are
pro-American while its government is staunchly anti-
American, but NPR's Mike Shuster suggests that this
attitude has changed. In the current environment of
the Middle East, statements by the United States
negatively impact the Reformist movement and the
internal Iranian opposition. As a result, Iranian
attitudes towards the United States are growing
increasingly disgruntled. However, Shuster's
assessment of Iranian public opinion should be
viewed skeptically. Shuster's report primarily quotes
Iranian government officials, a group that has long
held negative views of America. One should be wary
not confuse a growing dislike of "American policies"
across the Middle East, and in Iran, with a dislike for
American and Americans, nor should we confuse
Shuster's report with the suggestion that ordinary
Iranians no longer see a future for US-Iran
relations.
Listen to the report.
http://www.npr.org/templates/stor
y/story.php?storyId=4629459
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| About Us |
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Vision
The vision of the American Iranian Council is that the
United States and Iran will work together, since their
common interests far outweigh their differences. AIC
also envisions the Iranian-American community
playing an increasingly significant role in American
society, and Iran becoming a democratically
developed member of the global community with full
respect for human rights.
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Mission
The mission of AIC is to be a constructive force, in
cooperation and partnership with other organizations,
in bringing the United States and Iran together,
involving the Iranian-American community in the
dialogue, and bringing attention to social and political
conditions in Iran.
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Goals The three
interrelated goals of the American Iranian Council
are:
1.
To serve as a platform for sustained dialogue on U.S.-
Iran relations.
2. To serve as a catalyst to educate all Americans,
including Iranian-Americans, regarding this
dialogue.
3. To serve as a forum for discussion of issues of
importance in Iranian society.
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Copyright © 2005 American Iranian Council. All
rights reserved.
American Iranian Council | 20 Nassau Street, Suite
111 | Princeton | NJ | 08542
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