AIC Update

AIC UPDATE

April 2005 | Vol. 2 | Number 16

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The American Iranian Council (AIC) is a nonprofit and nonpartisan tax-exempt [501 (C) 3] educational organization dedicated to improving US-Iran relations through dialogue, understanding, and constructive engagement.

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in this issue
  • 'Defining US-Iran Hostility' - Survey
  • AIC Audio Updates
  • Iran's Presidential Election - Reader Commentary
  • H.R. 282/ S. 333 - "Iran Freedom and Support Act" - In Search of Clarity
  • Nuclear Talk: Economic Influences & Russian Interests
  • Nuclear Talk: The Imminent Failure of Negotiations

  • AIC Audio Updates


    Interview SBS Radio Australia - Hooshang Amirahmadi (23.4.2005)

    Interview DW Iran USA Europe - Hooshang Amirahmadi (15.04.2005)

    Interview DW Iran USA Europe - Hooshang Amirahmadi (30.03.2005)

    Interview SBS Radio- Hooshang Amirahmadi (22.1.2005)


    Revisiting US-Iran Relations


    US-Iran Relations: Has the Time Come? - Cyrus R. Vance (1999)

    The Positive Evolution in American-Iranian Relations - Robert H. Pelletreau (1999)

    A Road Map for US-Iran Relations - R.K. Ramazani (1999)


    Iran's Presidential Election - Reader Commentary



    Occasionally the American Iranian Council receives in-depth feedback and analysis from its readers. We would like to encourage involvement in dialogue, so we have published the following commentary on the upcoming Presidential elections. Please forward any comments or additional feedback to aic@american-iranian.org or update@american-iranian.org.

    Iran's Presidential Election - Reader Commentary


    With less than two months remaining until Iran's ninth presidential election on June 17, 2005 and two weeks until the Guardian Council begins vetting candidates on May 10 for the final leg of the race, Iranian presidential politics remains ordinarily factionalized, widely uncompelling, and slowly degrading.

    Although both Conservative and Reformists camps made concerted efforts early in the race to align behind a single candidate to increase voter turnout, their efforts have largely failed. Despite the encroaching election date, the actual composition of the race following the Guardian Council's approval of candidates remains only speculative. To make matters worse, Iran's Interior Ministry has predicted that only 42-51% of eligible voters plan to participate in the upcoming elections, a marked decline from past elections, with the majority of the public uninterested in a system that has defeated democratic change. The failure of President Khatami's two terms and the associated public apathy has precipitated a degradation of Iran's political discourse, from complex campaign platforms to basic issues of participation.
    Read More...



    Election News


    Iran's voter turnout forecast: 42-51%" http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleVie w/Default.asp? ArchiveNews=Yes&NewsCode=31256&NewsKind=Curre ntAffairs

    If U.S. stops causing trouble, Iran will reconsider its policies: Larijani - http://www.tehrant imes.com/Description.asp? Da=4/25/2005&Cat=2&Num=008

    Management, a major challenge: Iran's Moin - http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleVie w/Default.asp?NewsCode=31321&NewsKind=Current% 20Affairs

    Iran rightist Qalibaf: Press corps treated unfairly - http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleVie w/Default.asp? ArchiveNews=Yes&NewsCode=31311&NewsKind=Curre ntAffairs

    Rafsanjani encouraged to run Iran's Presidency - http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleVie w/Default.asp? ArchiveNews=Yes&NewsCode=31231&NewsKind=Curre ntAffairs

    Ethnic discrimination harmful: Iran's former FM - http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleVie w/Default.asp? ArchiveNews=Yes&NewsCode=31320&NewsKind=Curre ntAffairs

    "Defeat of Iran's conservatives possible" - http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleVie w/Default.asp? ArchiveNews=Yes&NewsCode=31230&NewsKind=Curre ntAffairs


    H.R. 282/ S. 333 - "Iran Freedom and Support Act" - In Search of Clarity



    H.R. 282/ S. 333 - "Iran Freedom and Support Act" - In Search of Clarity


    Over recent weeks, competing claims regarding the purpose and impact of H.R 282/S. 333 have surfaced. If one thing is certain, it is that H.R. 282/S. 333 need significant clarification. H.R. 282/S. 333 can be viewed as a codification of the principles set forth in May of 2003, when the Senate Foreign Relations Committee considered bill S. 1082, titled "Iran Democracy Act," that asked for millions of dollars to promote democracy in Iran and to fund Iranian opposition groups. H.R. 282/ S. 333 promotes a similar line, authorizing the President to provide financial and political assistance to those individuals and groups "that are opposed to the non-democratic Government of Iran."

    Clearly, both bills make the assumption that pro- democracy forces are automatically anti-regime forces, and that democracy requires a complete overhaul of the current system. Iranian government officials have inadvertently propagated this notion by forcefully confronting H.R. 282/ S 333 and claiming that such funding interferes with Iranian internal affairs. However, the debate truly hinges on the assumption that H.R. 282/ S. 333 signifies the beginning of a process in which the current Administration declares 'regime change' official U.S. foreign policy and then proceeds towards military intervention.

    Considering that the United States has maintained an implicit policy of 'regime change' for nearly twenty-five years, one should wonder whether this is a codification of that policy or a step in a new direction?

    Surveys suggest that Americans are opposed to U.S. military intervention, but there are no scientific surveys to suggest that they are opposed to other means of democratizing Iran. The development of civil society, the protection of a free press, and a stronger political party system are all steps towards a more democratic Iran. Toward this goal, H.R. 282/ S. 333 supports such non-violent means, but the sponsors of this bill should clarify whether this bill implies other means of intervention.

    http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,1463 42,00.html

    http://www.voanews.com/english/2005- 04-14-voa1.cfm

    http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_ East/GD29Ak02.html


    Nuclear Talk: Economic Influences & Russian Interests



    Over the last decade, Iran has improved its economic positions with both emerging Eastern powers and traditional Western Europe. However, the development of economic relationships has not translated into support for Iran's nuclear ambitions. Sources indicate that Iranian officials believe strong economic ties (vis-à-vis negotiations and regional development) will protect their ambition to develop nuclear technology. However, the two are not mutually exclusive, and Iran should expect anti- nuclear sentiments amongst investors. One has only to view the recent revelations of Russia toward Iran's nuclear program to see that economic and political gains are much greater in a stable Iran which does not possess the capability to develop nuclear weapons. For Russia, there is no immediate political gain in defending Iran's nuclear ambitions, and one should not ignore Russian efforts to be the primary dealer of nuclear fuel to Iran.

    http://today.reuters.co.uk/News/newsArtic le.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2005-04- 28T161158Z_01_EIC858264_RTRUKOC_0_UTILITIES- RUSSIA-IRAN.xml

    http://www.rferl.org/featuresarti cle/2005/04/354f4f21-70bb-40ba-9273- 2fb8da992c74.html

    http://en.rian.ru/analysis/20050428/39752290.ht ml


    Nuclear Talk: The Imminent Failure of Negotiations



    Recent public statements by Iranian officials indicate that Iran will restart its uranium enrichment program if talks with European Union heavyweights France, Britain and Germany fail on Friday, Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi said on Thursday. Conversely, French, British, and German representatives are looking to postpone the start of what is viewed as the last leg of the negotiations. However, this is not to suggest that an agreement will be reached between Iran and Europe, though all parties appear hopeful. Therefore, are we postponing the inevitable? The Council has suggested that Iran's involvement in European nuclear negotiations are based on a mistaken premise of European strength and a Cold War mentality that suggests Iran can play a balance-of-power game (see The American Diplomatic Coup: A New Window of Opportunity for US-Iran Relations by Hooshang Amirahmadi). Nearly four months of talks have not changed Iran's position regarding the development of a full nuclear fuel cycle, and Europe seems unwilling or unable to prevent United States pressure that will most likely result in referral to the UN Security Council.

    http://news.ft.com/cms/s/736a8 e56-b7cd-11d9-8f87-00000e2511c8.html

    http://www.aljazeera.com/cgi- bin/news_service/middle_east_full_story.asp? service_id=8038

    http://www.irna.ir/en/ne ws/view/line-22/0504270689142610.htm


    About Us
    Vision
    The vision of the American Iranian Council is that the United States and Iran will work together, since their common interests far outweigh their differences. AIC also envisions the Iranian-American community playing an increasingly significant role in American society, and Iran becoming a democratically developed member of the global community with full respect for human rights.
    Mission
    The mission of AIC is to be a constructive force, in cooperation and partnership with other organizations, in bringing the United States and Iran together, involving the Iranian-American community in the dialogue, and bringing attention to social and political conditions in Iran.
    Goals
    The three interrelated goals of the American Iranian Council are:

    1. To serve as a platform for sustained dialogue on U.S.- Iran relations.
    2. To serve as a catalyst to educate all Americans, including Iranian-Americans, regarding this dialogue.
    3. To serve as a forum for discussion of issues of importance in Iranian society.
    Copyright © 2005 American Iranian Council. All rights reserved.

    American Iranian Council | 20 Nassau Street, Suite 111 | Princeton | NJ | 08542


    'Defining US-Iran Hostility' - Survey

    AIC Survey - "Defining US-Iran Hostility"

    The Council would like you to take this last opportunity to define the issues that you feel are most important to US-Iran relations.

    Please join the dialogue by taking this survey.
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